Historical precedent suggests energy shocks take up to eight months to fully work through the inflation ecosystem. The Federal Reserve is now unlikely to cut rates in 2026, with potential policy shifts anticipated at the June meeting.

The Federal Reserve has battled a variety of economic troubles over the past 35 years. Between tech busts, a financial crisis and a pandemic, not to mention periods of too little inflation and too much,

The consumer price index rose 2.7% in December 2025 from 12 months earlier, unchanged from November, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Tariffs put some upward pressure on prices for consumers, economists said. The data is also somewhat difficult ...

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Inflation cooled a bit more than forecasters expected in January, with prices rising 2.4% from a year earlier, the Labor Department said Feb. 13. The report, which was delayed two days due to a brief government shutdown, revealed inflation fell ...

As always, there is plenty of noise about the potential for short-term inflation from tariffs, fiscal stimulus from tax cuts, and deficit spending from various governments around the world. But the long-term trajectory of global inflation is poised to be ...

Oil flowing through the Strait of Hormuz accounts for roughly 20% of the global oil supply, and that traffic has fallen to a near standstill. Goldman Sachs economists project Brent crude averaging $105 a barrel in March and $115 in April under a base case where Hormuz shipments remain disrupted for six weeks,