Recessions are not predictable with precision. But they are priceable, and at 40% to 50% probability, the risk deserves ...

There's a term that keeps showing up in financial news, in economists' Twitter threads, and in worried conversations between ...

People are preparing themselves for the fact that we are already in a recession now or that there is a high likelihood we will soon be in one,” said Hady Farag, a partner and associate director at ...

Recession probability indicators are flashing caution. The yield curve has spent extended periods inverted, the Conference ...

Rising oil prices have rattled the markets, and more than 40% of Americans now believe we may be headed toward an "economic collapse" in the next decade, according to a March 2026 poll from YouGov. It ...

The likelihood of a recession has increased significantly since February, according to the predictions market platform Kalshi ...