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6:06
YouTube
Probability Course
Lecture 12: Bayes' Rule: False Positive Paradox and Cancer Screening
This video describes Bayes’ Rule and its application to medical testing. Given the probability of a certain disease, we are given the tools to update the probability using Bayesian thinking. Base rates and conditional probability are discussed. Section 3: Probabilities, Conditioning, and Bayesian Thinking (4/5) This is the 12th of a total of ...
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The defense against base rate fallacy is to never accept a stat at face value, and always look for the underlying statistics. I cover this and other manipulation tactics in Clear Thinker, which you can check out a preview at ClearThinkerAcademy.com Comment Clear and I’ll DM you the link. | thatskaizen
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